Carlos Rodon
Carlos Rodon
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/17/2020
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Rodon opened up 2019 showing a new affinity for his slider, and at times, looked great with that approach, but poor fastball command still held him back. He went down with an elbow injury after seven starts and underwent Tommy John surgery on May 19. Rodon won't be ready to rejoin the big-league rotation until at least sometime in the second half, and the White Sox may opt to play it even safer than that, potentially limiting him to rehab outings in the minors or pitching him exclusively out of the bullpen down the stretch. He has now had both elbow and shoulder issues the past couple of years, so his long-term future could be in relief. However, Chicago will likely give the No. 3 overall pick from 2014 at least one more chance to make it as a starting pitcher. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year, $4.45 million contract with the White Sox in January of 2020.
Aiming for June return
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
April 10, 2020
Rodon (elbow) said he feels good enough that he could be pitching by June, Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Rodon went as far as saying a June return "is realistic," but the left-hander admits getting the White Sox management and medical staff to give him permission would be a sticking point. Original estimates pegged a July return for Rodon, who is in the final stages of rehab from Tommy John surgery. Rodon has been throwing three days per week at the team's spring training complex in Glendale (Ariz.), including bullpen sessions on Mondays and Fridays. That's the same activity he would have been performing even if MLB had started its season on time.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
99
Last 10 Games
99
Last 5 Games
98
How many pitches does Carlos Rodon generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Carlos Rodon generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-70%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .247 199 45 22 42 7 1 8
Since 2017vs Right .227 767 167 81 152 34 2 23
2019vs Left .077 18 6 2 1 1 0 0
2019vs Right .256 140 40 15 32 6 1 4
2018vs Left .245 112 21 15 23 4 1 6
2018vs Right .213 399 69 40 74 16 1 9
2017vs Left .286 69 18 5 18 2 0 2
2017vs Right .234 228 58 26 46 12 0 10
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-84%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-24%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.53 1.42 105.1 4 7 0 8.3 3.9 1.6
Since 2017Away 4.15 1.23 119.1 7 8 0 8.7 4.3 0.9
2019Home 11.91 2.82 11.1 0 1 0 15.9 7.9 2.4
2019Away 1.93 0.77 23.1 3 1 0 10.0 2.7 0.4
2018Home 3.58 1.14 55.1 3 3 0 6.7 2.9 1.3
2018Away 4.68 1.36 65.1 3 5 0 6.8 5.1 1.0
2017Home 3.72 1.42 38.2 1 3 0 8.4 4.2 1.9
2017Away 4.70 1.30 30.2 1 2 0 11.7 3.8 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carlos Rodon compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.71
 
K/9
11.9
 
BB/9
4.4
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
91.5 mph
 
ERA
5.19
 
WHIP
1.44
 
BABIP
.359
 
GB/FB
1.44
 
Left On Base
63.1%
 
Exit Velocity
89.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.4%
 
Spin Rate
2205 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
39.8%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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39 days ago
Before jumping into this week's risers and fallers, Erik Halterman examines whether the market is accurately valuing closers or just overreacting after getting burned by the likes of Edwin Diaz.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Rodon enters 2019 as one of the game’s biggest wild cards. His 2018 was delayed as he rehabbed from shoulder surgery performed the previous September, debuting in early June. He struggled a bit out of the gate, sporting a 4.55 ERA after five starts, albeit with a solid 1.18 WHIP. Rodon then got on a roll, posting a 1.84 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in nine starts, covering 63.2 frames. Unfortunately, Rodon fell apart in September, recording a 9.22 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 27.1 stanzas. Rodon truthers will highlight the middle stretch, writing off the early struggles to rust and the late ones to running out of gas. But here’s the thing: a 20 K% and 11.1 BB% in the middle set is rather pedestrian. His xFIP in that span was 4.77. The success was driven by an unsustainable .175 BABIP. The early market is expressing optimism, assuming not only will Rodon avoid injury, but that he’ll return to previous strikeout levels while honing his spotty control. That’s a risky bet.
Planning on ramping up Rodon's workload last season, the White Sox took it slow in the spring. It turned out their concerns were warranted as Rodon left a March 28 spring game with a tight bicep, later diagnosed as left shoulder bursitis, keeping him out until June 28. Rodon's throwing shoulder started barking again down the stretch, shutting him down for the season on Sept. 2. In between, the lefty was typically inconsistent, largely a result of spotty control, walking 31 in 69.1 innings. Homers also contributed, as he served up a dozen long balls. The saving grace was 76 punchouts. Rodon's trend has been to finish with a flourish, but there's no telling if his 4.15 ERA and 1.37 WHIP would have improved with another month of starts. Rodon had arthroscopic surgery in late September, with a six-to-eight month timetable, putting Opening Day in jeopardy. Expect the White Sox to again treat their prized southpaw with kid gloves.
Rodon's 2016 wasn't too different from 2015: low-4.00 ERA through the first four months before a sprint of quality work to the finish line that featured the upside that made him the No. 3 overall pick in the 2014 draft. One major difference between the two seasons was a big improvement in his walk rate, but it came at the expense of his command as he allowed more hits and nearly twice as many home runs. The season still stands as a worthy building block for a 24-year-old lefty trying to fulfill his frontline upside. His elite slider was even better in 2016, and his changeup took a big step forward, but not enough to offset his fastball getting less effective. Velocity is great, but a good fastball requires much more (namely, command). His walk gains came via the fastball, but it was also responsible for the home run troubles. This is exactly the kind of profile you want to bet on, though: The cost doesn't require major gains to pay off, but the upside is massive.
Rodon’s transition to the majors was rocky, and while he struck out 64 through his first 60 innings as a starter, he also walked 37 over that same stretch. However, he learned on the job and was stellar in the season’s final two months - he posted a 1.81 ERA and .198 BAA over his final eight outings. Rodon entered the big leagues with a big league-ready slider, and the pitch was as good as advertised. Ninety-seven of his 139 strikeouts came off the slider, and his upper-90s fastball was also impressive. He could take the jump if he polishes a third pitch. Rodon should slot behind Chris Sale and Jose Quintana in the White Sox’s rotation.
Rodon entered his junior year at North Carolina State as the prohibitive No. 1 overall pick. However, concerns about his workload budged him from the top spot in the 2014 June draft, and he fell to the White Sox at No. 3. It took much of the summer for the two sides to agree on a contract, which may have worked out better for his overworked arm. His plus fastball and slider blew away college batters, and the White Sox want him to add a changeup to the mix. Even without a refined third pitch, he ranks as one of the top prospects in the system and could be in the mix for a rotation spot out of camp, though vice president of baseball operations Ken Williams said in December that a multi-innings bullpen role is more likely for Rodon in 2015.
More Fantasy News
Could return by July
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
March 19, 2020
Rodon (elbow) could return to active duty by July, Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Making good progress
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
February 18, 2020
Rodon (elbow) has exceeded expectations in his rehab process, according to pitching coach Don Cooper, James Fegan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Plays catch
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
February 12, 2020
Rodon (elbow) was able to play catch Wednesday, James Fegan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Signs without arbitrator
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
January 10, 2020
Rodon (elbow) agreed to a one-year, $4.45 million deal with the White Sox on Friday, avoiding arbitration, freelance baseball writer Robert Murray reports.
ANALYSIS
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Reinstated from injured list
PChicago White Sox
Elbow
October 31, 2019
Rodon (elbow) was reinstated from the 60-day injured list Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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